Will the Kremlin be able to withstand the war of nerves?

After the failure of the information blitzkrieg, the Kremlin is entering a new stage of confrontation — the war of nerves. Russia has accumulated a significant arsenal of weapons, hoping to exhaust Ukraine with long-term shelling. There are several factors that contribute to this situation: the increase in the number of contract workers and the end of the autumn dembele, which provide new resources for "meat assaults".

Is the threat of a nuclear strike really real?

"The nuclear threat is minimal today, " say experts.

Even if radical groups around Putin, such as Patrushev and Kovalchuk, believe in the possibility of a nuclear strike, Putin himself seems to fear that consequence. His fear of final isolation and loss of historical place in textbooks restrains him from radical actions.

Economic dilemmas of the Kremlin

Russia is becoming increasingly dependent on China, which is a problem for long-term development. Even if there is enough money for the war for a few more years, the collapse of the price of oil can deal a serious blow to the Russian economy. The Kremlin is trying to balance between continuing the war and finding ways to lift sanctions.

Prospects of negotiations

The situation indicates that Putin wants to buy time before stabilizing the front line. For now, only low-level exchanges are expected, with no real negotiations. However, the future of Ukraine may become part of the big deals initiated by Trump.

In summary, the Kremlin found itself in a difficult dilemma between the desire to achieve its goals and real economic constraints. Whether Putin will find the right way remains an open question.

Editor: Emiliia Morozova